OK, I confess. I'm an Electoral College Geek. I've been a faithful reader of Chris Weigant's weekly Electoral College column which is about the geekiest thing going on the subject. Please feel free to read this week's lengthy analysis yourself, but if you want the quick and dirty, here it is:
Barack Obama Likely Easy Wins -- 22 States -- 264 Electoral Votes:
Safe States -- 20 States -- 256 Electoral Votes
California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Iowa (7), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (15), New Mexico (5), New York (31), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington DC (3), Washington (11), Wisconsin (10)
Probable States -- 2 States -- 8 Electoral Votes
Maine (4), New Hampshire (4)
John McCain Likely Easy Wins -- 21 States -- 163 Electoral Votes:
Safe States -- 16 States -- 100 Electoral Votes
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Utah (5), Wyoming (3)
Probable States -- 5 States -- 63 Electoral Votes
Georgia (15), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Texas (34), West Virginia (5)
Tossup States -- 8 States -- 111 Electoral Votes:
Tossup States Leaning Obama -- 2 States -- 40 Electoral Votes
Florida (27), Virginia (13)
Tossup States Leaning McCain -- 1 State -- 11 Electoral Votes
Indiana (11)
Too Close To Call -- 5 States -- 60 Electoral Votes
Colorado (9), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20)
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/chris-weigant/electoral-math----obama-l_b_133135.html
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